October 31, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Samurai Queen | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonstone | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mochi | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Madam | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Music Major | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s in Charge | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cause for Alarm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moon Swings | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Change At the Top | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Osage Moon | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Inventing Blame | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flashymeister | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Global Access | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Self Inflicted | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Key Red | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Danielle | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promise Me Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eesti Star | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | How’d You Know | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asha Ironborn | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sligo One | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Meet You At Home | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Bliss | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Khawlah | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Ambition | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dubhe | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Penny a Point | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unrivaled Soul | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Have Feelings | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bid’s Kid | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oculist | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | La Dolce Uno | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amber Brewski | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Misguided Passion | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Ring for Essa | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dan the Tin Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Corky’s the Name | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sleeping Giant | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lowi Vene | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bold Hope | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Doggie | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Band Benny | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Baldur | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tevez | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Frost King S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Captain Handsome | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Stritta | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krachenwagen | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silencium | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Silencer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dun Drum | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandretti | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Two | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seguimi | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hungary | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Court Battle | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cry Bao | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Ronin | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crumlin Night | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Therealquaff | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acting the Part | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bealestreet Dancer | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fine Grind | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bit’s Lover Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yallhaveaniceday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Top Hat Trick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Subliminal | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tinker Ring | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bakersfield | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arrius | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 13 | Oversteering | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Butilovesyababe | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fearless Freak | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brady O’Brady | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Allied Instigator | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Canada Wise Don | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Third Republic | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Jurojin | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Like Your Excuse | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.