October 28, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Toma |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Not Sure |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Atlantic Avenue |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Star Seed Child |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Morholesinmypocket |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
War of the States |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Inspired Notion |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Sour Ball |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Semper Paratus |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Sky Magician |
1.20 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gimme Some Truth |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Creative Artist |
1.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Red Gum |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
El Rojo |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Honor Run |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Street Treasure |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Belmullet |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Templemore |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
More Mo |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Positivist |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Monumental Vending |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Master Distiller |
2.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Belmonte |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sofranko |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Mr. Magician |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Finbar |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Fantasize |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Decisive Triumph |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Worktab |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Maccabee |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Alkasser (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
8 |
Mokheef |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
9 |
No Drinking Rules |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Candy Asset |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Uhwarrie Sky |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
In Him With Him |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Whirlin Curlin |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
7 |
Exclusive Lake |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
City Gold |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
5 |
Alluring Silver |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Front Line Paige |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Jarvis Steel |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Versed |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Frio Factor |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Team Tim |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Weather Report |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Get a Valentine |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Nick the Cardshark |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Blarp |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
13 |
9 |
In Arrears |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
The Curt Fox (GB) |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
My Pirate |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
12 |
8 |
Took Over |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Self Start |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Hot Mic |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Big Bella Brown |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trusting Friend |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Road Guard Post |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Jai Blue |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Old Dude |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Red Clay Road |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Nonsuch |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Swinging Star |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
My Eminence |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
To Blave |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Takedown |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Fled |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cheese On |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Uno Dancer |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sparty |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Godlovesasinner |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dashing Lou |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hero’s Hope |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
What a Run |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smart Rags |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Accolade |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kingston Pike |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ambition Mission |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fashion Week |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Another Broad |
1.40 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Take Charge Tina |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pearl Gem |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Trespassing |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Procuradora |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Ask Stacy |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Lady Nobility |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Witch |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
A Little Info |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Broadway Trouper |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Ashley’s Hope |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
6 |
Lookin Sharp |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Money Fromheaven |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
12 |
8 |
Blameitonthekiss |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tuffy’s Way |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
7 |
Bestatgettinbetter |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tri Poker |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Dah Philly |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Kissandsaygoodbye |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.