October 27, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Precious Luck | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Estrela Cadente | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Little Bull | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Undivided | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dylan Did It | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Envy | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Register | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Moonfield | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Daniela | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Free Fora Fee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lake Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gato Style | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bird Traffic | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Almyra | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kissin Kory | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs Poochie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hawt Mess | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | So Dramatic | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Biz | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Starvana | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kimberley Dream | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Whiskarita | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forever Shining | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Musical America | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parauari (FR) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapsolute | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sekondi | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indium | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Dude | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fulkerson | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jo Jo Air | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Snoose Goose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tweezer (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fake Solution | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Off to Broadway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Roughin the City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Philosophy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corruze | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valid Exchange | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bourbon in May | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kinetic Swagger | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Inda Zone | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Idaho Tornado | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Henry’s Bend | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Where’s Oliver | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Logical Myth | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Charge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | So Alive | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tapizars Secret | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bundibunan | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ourbestfriend D L | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ready and Rich | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Incorrigible | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Millwood | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grenadier | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Boots | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kantastic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | She’s a Fine Line | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sea Shack | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mischievious Lass | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Castle Ridge | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Showed Up Late | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Despina | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kaylen’s Revenge | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go Stellaire | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Spring Break Girls | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Tortuga Rio | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Credit Swap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dynamic Racer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Most Mischief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Baytown Jimbo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Yodel E. A. Who | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Maximum Force | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | All American Hero | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Junkanoo | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Faraway Kitten | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | English Bee | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ready to Forgive | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pradar | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Go Away | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cardinal Coach Mac | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Landofthepharaohs | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | All Hansens Ondeck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Silver Dust | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Travelling Midas | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Pleasure | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amiral | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mac Jagger | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ballard High | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Extricate | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Firehorn | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Giant Honor | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | J. S. Choice | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Caloric | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hagyard Fayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prime Attraction | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leofric | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Not Nice | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hofburg | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hence | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scuba | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rated R Superstar | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Smart Shot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Backintheacademy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | I Remember Mama | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Coachwhip | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pop By | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | English Dancer | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Esquisse (GB) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drinks On Me | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roussalka | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mutabaahyia | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fonda Romana | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.