October 26, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Imperatore | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Win With Pride | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Red Dude | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Almithmaar | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Helooksthepart | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caledonian | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stan the Man | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eagle Pass | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Flyoff | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Frontier Market | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Another | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Currency | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Leaveematthegate | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Glennwood | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Successful Mission | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Steam Engine | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Show Prince | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Letzgometz | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Rally Cap | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Diggitty | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wild Boar | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kazmania | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dusty Dan | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blue Belt | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Discretionary Marq | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ethan Hunt | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Psychic Energy | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Speightful Kitten | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Crocheron Kid | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz a Chance | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Light the Posse | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Ready to Escape | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | San Juan Diego | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Legion Storm | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wheresthebarber | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apello | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our American Star | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bourbon N Rye | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Transistor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Expert | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tathqeef | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Bonus | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adonis Creed | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miles of Humor | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ego | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Acoustic | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not Fake News | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bootlegger (FR) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Promethean | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mihos | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Binary | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Epic Dreamer | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bring the Dough | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Felix the Fox | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Firery Tale | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dillon Rocks | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Closeau | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Posse Needed | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Andesine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Picture Day | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Golden State | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sister Sophia | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rumble Doll | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Orecchiette | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Quality Time (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Closer Still (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tanya’s Gem | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Go Astray | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bloody Point | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Annie Rocks | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Stronger | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Elenzee | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gravitating | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hoard | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bobby G | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kulin Rock | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Four Knights | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gosilently | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Commissioner | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Deep | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belfast Cowboy (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spring On Curlin | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Saratoga Colonel | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Ninja | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Won’t Be Missed | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spa Jazz | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.