October 25, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5A |
5 |
Girlie’s Dream |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Promise Me Roses |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Dawn |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Zecha |
1.60 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aly’s All Out |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ramblin’ Ma’am |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild With Style |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8A |
7 |
Reyana Reya Dreams |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Might Be |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
1 |
Rachel’s Blue Moon |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Cotton Candy Cutie |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Flat Calm |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6A |
5 |
Held Accountable |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Archumybaby |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Pink Twist |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Cause We Are Loyal |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2A |
2 |
Zealous |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4A |
3 |
Argonne |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Hierarchy |
1.40 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carom |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
No Mans Land |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Chantry Flats |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Mini P (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Canteen |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Off Topic |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Introspection |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
It Justhitthe Wire |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Always Shopping |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Filly Joel |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Squibnocket |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dovey Lovey |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Impazible Odds |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Prince of New York |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Empiremeister |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Highest Rank |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Kid Chocolate |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Scotty Brown |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Southern Brigade |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alphastest |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Klickitat |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Doups Point |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Pier Forty |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gray’s Image |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Herecomesthejudge |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
10 |
Quick Charge |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Adversary |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
12 |
11 |
Coach Villa |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Laura’s Posse |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
There Goes Jose |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Presence of Mind |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
All Clear |
1.20 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
Moses Supposes |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Buss the Bell |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Hopper Dropper |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
5 |
The Chamo |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Free Kitty |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Carlisle Belle |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gentle Annie |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Sweet August Lady |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Critique |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tiz R Bella |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alley to Calvary |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Love to Share |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Danielle’s Pride |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Tayler’s the Boss |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mo Flash |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sophie Germain |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
11 |
10 |
Laura’s Patriot |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
12 |
11 |
Miss Loyalty |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Angel At War |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nisha |
1.60 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yorkiepoo Princess |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Treble |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Luz Mimi |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peaches and Spice |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Smokin Platinum |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Inalienable Rights |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Louisiana Lady |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Outrageous Bet |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Jupiter Rising |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Not So Quiet Man |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Fast Getaway |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Canarsie Kid |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
9 |
Sparky |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Leap to Glory |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
6 |
Starry Messenger |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
7 |
Expediter |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
12 |
10 |
Source Control |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.