October 21, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Luminoso | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katherine | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tinabud | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Blame Judy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poetic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Calder Vale | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Hit Play | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Class | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drinks All Around | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Salute to Lt Dan | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empirical Data | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Salute | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Etching | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Tequila Sunrise | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turing Machine | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Thoughts | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harmony Victory | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Batiquitos | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rolling Shadow | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emmy and I | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shylock Eddie | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chasin Lucas | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonshine Annie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carrie’s Success | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coalinga Hills | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scathing | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charmingslew | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Street Class | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent McCool | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Extra Hope | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lingua Franca | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Insider | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catch Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Worthy Turk | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Snazzy Dresser | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Exultation | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buckys Pick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Offshore | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Wild Kingdom | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spa Shackalacka | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zapana’s Game | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stylistics United | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sunny Slope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Principe Carlo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rickey B | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Seven Scents | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparky Ville | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Savagery | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shark | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Atrevida | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inland Empire | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Our Slick Chick | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Drama | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | K P’s Smokin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pray for Corday | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reinahermosa | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Down Now | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C. R. Golden Queen | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Persuasive Cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Pitino | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shaky Alibi | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Factorial | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Buzz | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blitzkrieg | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Erotic | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Paladar | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Raging Tiger | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blaze of Glory | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.