October 20, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Latonka | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Fever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hollow Point | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie’s Gamble | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leo From Heaven | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Muchacho | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Split My Pants | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matthew’s Ridge | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’s Ben | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Matthews’ Orb | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Wok N Roll | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Boss Factor | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | News Flash | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corduroy Road | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rising Star | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Northern Crusader | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Rated Breeze | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Music Major | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Frost Dance | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | I’ll Take the Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aunt Tillie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trickeration | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Truly Honoured | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Art of Almost | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Curl | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maritime Breeze | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verradassah | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Worlds Apart | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tallulah Darling | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Get Off My Tail | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Glittering Snow | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ami’s Link | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hope Garden | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Distinct Passion | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gator Spy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twiceaslucky | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Sky | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mc Culley | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Exchange | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atlantic Crossing | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shantelle’s Chance | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easter Gold | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Sahara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | In View | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Gold Sting | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shelbourne | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tequila State | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | You’re Batman | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Another Shot | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lookin At Matteo | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poquito Bandito | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hope to Heaven | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mizuchi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Edition | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dark Ale | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Gizmo | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lillz Not Crying | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlem’s Saint | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peggy’s Cove | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marner | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Express Banking | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Vision | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peut Etre | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fort of Luxury | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen of the North | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mollytara | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power of Three | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overturned | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pottahawk | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Freitag | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Golden Spear | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eminent Force | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Lemonraid | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Black Sea (FR) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surgical Strike | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vanish | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speight Swiftly | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woodbridge | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amberwood | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wedgewood | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soexotic | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Tango | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Rita | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macho Bourbon | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piper’s Heath | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Echo Bay | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockyroadto Dublin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lyla D | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Carotene S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zestina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Moon | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avie’s Mineshaft | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Isle | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bear Paw | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Line of Vision | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Get Saucy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Doll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Crazy About Jazz | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cuatthefinishline | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mizzona | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sacred Season | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sea My Moves | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Northern Colors | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hush Buffy | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Adopted Family | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’snicetobenice | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hockey Hair | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ethereal Miss | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Full Extreme | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Dude | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | English Classic | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Argentium | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Analyzer | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love of Mine | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Mission | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Primary Surplus | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Countryside Drive | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Transfer Pricing | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moosey Baby | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Waldorf | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit Wicked | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chiricahua Signal | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Secret | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Salieri | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hold’emforransom | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Contempt | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho T | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Man | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Young Lord | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sent From Heaven | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cash Dividend | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blu Without You | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.