October 20, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Above Board | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kona Dreams | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddies Dream | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Ready to Roll | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Air Pocket | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Americain | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Save Ground | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Point Rack | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Street Fighter | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Set Ruler | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Highlight Show | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Karma | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rinse and Repeat | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kershaw | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Personality | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Tiz Time | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | June Two Four | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wild Verse | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Steve | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Wally | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Minister | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow of War | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | June Sixth | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Serve Me a Double | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Factor | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Chadinator | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – California Flag H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tribalist | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Richard’s Boy | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eddie Haskell | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brandothebartender | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | P Club | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mason B | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Sunset | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sharona Sunset | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swallows Inn Gal | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Ice | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dressed in Prada | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | As a Rule | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fellina | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bellazano | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ask the Customer | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fairy Tale Bliss | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shes All Woman | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mercy Mercy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Blue | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurley | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Huntress | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Older Brother | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ninety Nine Proof | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire to the Wire | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tough But Nice | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Abner | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tanners Pride | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Minoso | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Perfection | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vantastic | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storms River | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Nights | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Temple Secret | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bob and Jackie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Volubile | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleeting Life | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Endeavor | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Indy Jones | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.