October 20, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Self Start |
1.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Easter Vigil |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boondoggle |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silbido |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Do With Pride |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Son of Flicker |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Off the Bourbon |
1.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mission Good Karma |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gifted Path |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Brujita Bonita |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Double Cross |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dream of Hero |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pride Leader |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kenlake Resort |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Dancin Debbie |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Silver Majorette |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Banana Kova |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Well Composed |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Blue Hen Madness |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Big Momma |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Theresa’s Honor |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lost On the Stairs |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
Midday Prayer |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
10 |
Passing Pfast |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Majestic Doctor |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lord Anthony |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Over Rider |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sky Ace |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Most Likely |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rosebud’s High |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Swag (JPN) |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Sterling General |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
9 |
Prudhoe Bay |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
I Wanda Win |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
5 |
Highroller Dave |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2B |
3 |
Mine the Store |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Thaddeus |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1A |
2 |
Lunar Rover |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
1 |
Go Cristian Go |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Southerncommission |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Port More |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sunshineinmypocket |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Blackwynn |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
There Goes My Girl |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Estrella Grande |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Misdriven |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Flamingo Chick |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Princess Nekia |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Buy for Less |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Moment |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Perfect Rosie |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Patriotic Endeavor |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Child’s Play |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
I Dream of Lois |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Kodiak Katie |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rockaroundthedock |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Zeven |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Justa Scoch |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Sugar Shack |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Millie’s Journey |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
7 |
Scary Not Scared |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
8 |
Ten Penny Princess |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Atalantia |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
Love That Fountain |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Orange Sorbet |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
9 |
Personal Server |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Fiery Flower |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mais Oui d’Or |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
On Shore Leave |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
8 |
Brooksley |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
7 |
Ambrosia |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Dance Valentina |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Smoochin Candy |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Hope for the Dance |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Jeezum Jim |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Ten Hut |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Deal Driven |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Arch of the Diver |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Salt Air |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
3 |
Liberty Lane |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Zefiro |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Malibu Uproar |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Dreaming of Frank |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Monkey’s Medal |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Bubba’s Will |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
WMA RIO BRAVO |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
LAPCOS LETS DANCE |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
MARSANNE MHF |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
BIG EYE |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
SOLE ON FIRE |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
ROYAL MOONLIGHT |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
DAHESSTINY MC |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
CHNDAKAS EKLIPSE SWA |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
HANSELINE |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.