October 20, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crack Shot | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bobby Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wacky Pal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Le Gros Bill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Early Retirement | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tapit Tango | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Rouxhere | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Craigville Beach | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Thorny Tale | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mister Muy Bien | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bydawnsearlylight | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mac’s Revolution | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Southern King | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frosty Margarita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I Still Miss You | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Highway Star | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Holiday Disguise | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Picco Uno | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Satisfy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Palladian Bridge | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pauseforthecause | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Filibustin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Inheritance | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Mohawk S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Diddley | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Papa Shot | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Singapore Trader | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Offering Plan | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kharafa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Black Tide | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Red Knight | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tapitation | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rapt | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mo Maverick | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hoboe | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Hudson H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Syndergaard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Gold for the King | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Boy Tate | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Runaway Lute | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Haul Bay | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Celtic Chaos | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eye Luv Lulu | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candid Desire | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Caretaker | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Ticonderoga S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wegetsdamunnys | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | La Moneda | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fifty Five | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Joan | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conquest Hardcandy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Munchkin Money | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | War Canoe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lovely La La | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kid Chocolate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Qian B C | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ro Jo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Grin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 10 | Beachside | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Kosciuszko | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Exchange Fever | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Overland | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Lost in Manhattan | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Not That Brady | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Big Paddy Brown | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Kiki N King | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Mend Up | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | No More Miracles | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maid Of The Mist S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s Trouble | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Kept True | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Elegant Zip | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cartwheelin Lulu | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sadie Lady | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maiden Beauty | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Surge of Pride | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Time Warp | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Galadriel’s Light | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Shelley Ann | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Short Pour | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | L. A. Page | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sleepy Hollow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Scotty Brown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Just Right | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bustin to Be Loved | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dashing Dan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dugout | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bankit | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy’s Destiny | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | La Fuerza | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | True Gold | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Albie | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Market Bubble | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Bustin Hoffman | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riken | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strive for a Cure | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Analyzethisandthat | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pipes | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Empire Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Land Mine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pink Twist | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Bonita Bianca | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frostie Anne | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Wise | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Aubrey | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hay Field | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiznow’s Smile | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | English Soul | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bluegrass Flag | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Split Time | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rosyjersey | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Empire Classic H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Tom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Pat On the Back | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Control Group | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wine Not | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can You Diggit | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hit It Once More | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr. Buff | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sea Foam | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Evaluator | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calculated Risker | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mama Mary | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dream Passage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Elostorm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wantagh Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hit a Provisional | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Truly Courageous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Birthday Gift | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Barrel of Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 7 | Out of Orbit | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Tiz a Kitten | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Newport Breeze | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Starlite Mission | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Puffery | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Tiffanys Freud | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Robin’s Destiny | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.