October 19, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wolverina’s Willa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Marsantropist | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Articulate | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thalias Fire | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fell From Grace | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sayyestoxcelence | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rebel Lioness | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flamenco Dancer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crumlin Spirit | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Touch of Emma | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marcherdowntheally | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gemini | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fresh Dreams | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Airy Fairy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forestella | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Now Play Nice | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Connection | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pappa Rox | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cheek to Cheek | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moon Magic | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victor’s Destiny | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seventh Wonder | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Big Classic | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Krachenwagen | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Schimmel | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gideon’s Sword | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | J M R Victory Lap | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Promise Me Bourbon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Maisie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Two Tribes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dolly Dagger | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corker | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mine Fast Philly | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Typically | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Chill | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Black Sage | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Klassy Delight | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rattlesnake Bite | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Light It Up | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Wuk Up Queen | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Savoia | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Desdemona | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Agosta | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Rebel | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silent Consort | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Dolce Uno | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Molinaro Deputy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Retreat | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shez a Ten I Know | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Penny a Point | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Sails | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misguided Passion | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Carolina Grace | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alkeline | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaunessy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pirano | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glib Marylin | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flashinthepants | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Singer | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Achainoflove | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Eh | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Treasure Finder | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beaufils | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ready’s Princess | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Extension | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Get My Gist | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Greenfield | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conquest Eliminatr | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cool Catomine | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Differential | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mick the Conqueror | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Josie’s Riddle | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Seize the Bay | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Afterburner | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giant Dreams | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Coleyville | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Monastrell | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cat’s Whisper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lapochka | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Gee | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carmenootz | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Joey | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Track D Gold | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ginger Sky | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ringo Classic | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prideofdistinction | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbounded Spirit | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pleasant Forest | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Asha Ironborn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Whileyousleeping | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Georgia Sweets | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | If You Only Knew | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Courtly Diva | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Show Me the Prize | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boyne River | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zahara Double Fire | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Distinct Signature | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Myzogamiss | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Timing | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Johnny Bayi | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Truth Serum | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Apatow | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Silent Blaze | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Precious Badge | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dan Sing Nightly | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kilkenny Prospect | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Silent Empire | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Station Rock | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Arch | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Knight | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Postman Pat | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Earthquakedirector | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.