October 19, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Belleinthecity | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | East Moon | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Urban Insight | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Esther Rising | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Figure | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bouffant | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | El Mas Puro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Accoustical | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Curlabella | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tomisue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gambler’s Choice | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pray for Kitten | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Hoptown Honey | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itwillbealright | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hours Truly | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Civil | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gasaway | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Passport | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Watch What Happens | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Archie’s Song | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cody | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tiger’s Tip | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Preamble | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bingwa | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeggyjeggy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Gem | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom’s Last General | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drunk as a Skunk | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Souper Tapit | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Compass Zone | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soglio | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Promise | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honovi | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Stride | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patrick’s Day | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Altito | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking Albert | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | What a Fox | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katie’s Bayou | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hush Y’all | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carolina Beach | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tschudi’s Girl | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Alexandrina | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweetest Appeal | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cirrusly | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miz Nightcap | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carry the One | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Elle Factor | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holywood Humor | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | North Princess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hymn to Inanna | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heavenly Hill | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sohni | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | As Fast as You Can | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sophie’s Angel | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Her Kitty | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Evenscore | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ultima D | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blazen Betsy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Saranda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | O’ Maggi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sensible Myth | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Focused | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pocket Book | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jet Away Sue | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missseventhirteen | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C P Quality | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Straitouttapopcorn | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | La Dame Blanche | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waves of Blue | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Riverside Walk (GB) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Taylor’s Princess | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lifefullofreinbows | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dessert Honeys | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auspicious Babe | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jump Ruler | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angel Heritage | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Dream | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bo Peep | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Arithmetic | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pin Oak Valley View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Mutabaahyia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chipolata (FR) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Daddy Is a Legend | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reversethedecision | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Colonia (FR) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Beans | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Scarlett | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Waltz | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Poetic Charm (GB) | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kabella | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goodthingstaketime (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | More Fun Again | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sirenusa | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | High Tech | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Get Explicit | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sultry Samurai | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Synthesis | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Brush Country | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Federal Case | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Claytnthelionheart | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Locally Owned | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sharp Prospect | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Storm Rider | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11B | 9 | Grove Daddy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Spire | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roan Like the Wind | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Medallion | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13B | 11 | Whata Show Off | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.