October 19, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Overtime Olivia | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Mom | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Maneuvers | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roses From Ben | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parlapiano | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Juno | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cause We Are Loyal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Our Super Nova | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Wegetsdamunnys | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Overnegotiate | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Giant Zinger | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Broken Border | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kreesie | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Table for Six | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jumpin’ Nancy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Purely Lucky | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bareeqa | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Monaco | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Oneballnostrikes | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Devine Dental | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Becker’s Galaxy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Halloween Horror | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Pretentious | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swivel | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Tough | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Daddy D T | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | English Minister | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Souperfast | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ghost Hunter | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mills | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Giant Run | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Carissimo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tricked Up | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Muggsamatic | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’sakittykat | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solitary Gem | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twofer | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashiononthesurge | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blushing Justine | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sophie Germain | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rapid Route | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arewehavingfunyet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Quick | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alabama Bound | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gagaoveryou | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tearless | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | China Rider | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Free N Clear | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bow Town Cat | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | E Warfare | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Aja Brown | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Same Kinda Crazy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sandy Belle | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Ghost | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Five Star Bunt | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Born for a Storm | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Encryption Key | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proletariat | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kerry Boy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Secret Passage | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Testosterstone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Frostmourne | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zennor | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Village King (ARG) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Profiteer | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galope Americano (BRZ) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Small Bear | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Transistor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stronger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gravitating | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hoard | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zap Daddy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Year of the Kitten | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zeke | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stock Trade | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coltandmississippi | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hills Pond | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Killeen | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Plum | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phone Funky Munky | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Gray Line | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.