October 15, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Southerncommission | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Matter of Factor | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sunshine Mark | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Warrior Lake | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hammers Vision | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Triangulate | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brio Man | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Family Crest | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Warrior A. P. | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grande Beso | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Teufles and Roses | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Savannah Roxanna | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stroll Action | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bamboo Garden | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Billy No Sabay | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paula’s Pistol | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Imperial Lady | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Marnesia Big Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Candy Phil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Viva Forever | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gangbusters | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Spring Away | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tale of Promise | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Queen of the Party | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Exotic Appeal | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mantle | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Special | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Informality | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myakka River | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alpha Team | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Smarty | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Global Citizen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Lie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Skittles | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baby Brez | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thiscatcanjump | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spotmeifucan | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stay Well | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Flashy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diagonal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lawyer Roy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King’s Gold | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Proud and Furious | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Ducky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Direct Order | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Light | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gates of Dawn | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strictly the Best | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spun to Run | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dubrovsky | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rockin Cowboy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Any Court Inastorm | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ok Now | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Texas Two Step | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Potro | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gurt Boys | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aimed | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Final Forum | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cause for Surprise | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Baby Cat | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Turn | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Friday Mass | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doc Mo’s Daughter | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosie’s Notion | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Congressionalstorm | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bella Lou | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Promised Storm | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Roll On Big Mama | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Donna’s Dunkirk | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Racheybullbah | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hibernia Diamond | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Little Miss May | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Angry Patty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anissa | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Betty’s Favorite | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Wendy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schwartzology | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stevie the Cat | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Honey | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gemodixie | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Fantabulous | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Tag | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.