October 15, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Reef | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Shack Up | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Queena Esther | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Coax | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Southern Christmas | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Z Nation | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dog Soldier | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Magnifier | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getoffmyback | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Big Awesome | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fireman Oscar | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Papacho | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Evil Monkey | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruble | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ben of the Bridge | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perp | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Virtue and Vice | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Frequency | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nan the Man | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hail Cepheus | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bannon | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Breanna | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not Sure | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alfresco | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simonela | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heather Hills | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fancy Girl | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chirping | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bostaleto | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Candy Cane Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Huntington Drive | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorsuch | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | No Drinking Rules | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Clinic | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Great Samurai | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Fire | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shane’s Jewel | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overcame | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Discreetly Placed | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Cowboy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tudox Expectations | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Bear | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Coop Tries Harder | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Adams | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clearly Super | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Postino’s Vow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stand Guard | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Attitude | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | To the Hilt | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Shaddai | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Military Citizen | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Bridle | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Friend Linus | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Mayito | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sancho Del Pueblo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | James P | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.