October 14, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mercurial | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Wild N Ready | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strike It Royal | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxxy Belle | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Rose | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vivacitas | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One for Nicki | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Julie’s Tap Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Atiya | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Place the Blame | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Essential | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’s Mulligan | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floating Rate | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gals Got Rhythm | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fact Checking | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Only Essa | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forest Brother | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Marten Lake | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stormy Rush | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Puntrooskie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Fever | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silent Flash | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodoldhockeygame | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Springhouse | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Night Watchman | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boyhood Dream | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Rebel | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slam | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hythe | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rare Appeal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing With Zorro | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giant Mine | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Track That Echo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Dilemma | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cerrado | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Like Larry | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Combative | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Hope | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brutus | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Street | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Uncle Drew | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D Magician | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seemee | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Ruling Angel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glamanation | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win the War | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devine Mischief | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Savvy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jean Elizabeth | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bint Huwaar | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ravinia | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alexandra Kay | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Desolator | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Gump | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Negotiations | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fritzie’s Boy | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arnie the King | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Letthebighossroll | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gasconade | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drena’s Bullet | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sexy Business | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mexican Hat | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Nicola Storm | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blurricane | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Explosion | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Kiss | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delamar | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Princess | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Sidney | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seeking the Bay | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camp Creek | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Artistico | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sine Metu | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twentytwentycrest | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leopard Cat | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Itstartswithadrink | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strongbox | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J M R Silent Sam | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Power Empire (JPN) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snippy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Screenwriter | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Cash | 1.20 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alice’s War | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Look Incredible | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreams Are Free | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sothatsthewayitis | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Irish Teardrop (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rose Ring | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dirty Girl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Diamond Express | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dilly Dally Darby | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jupiter’s Eagle | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wedding Ring | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diva On a Dime | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perfect Road | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Podgora | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.