October 14, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Colormemoney | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gringo Star | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bob’s All In | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Stalk Me | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Valentine | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sir Eddie | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sidepocket Action | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Barrel | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Jockey | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cyclometric | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bouncing Around | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leroy Pegasus | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | If You Like It | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blondy’s Reward | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bridal Arch | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lob City | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Linda | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dizzy Diva | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trinitys Turn | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fortnite Dance | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dark Prince | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Data Hawk | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Surprise Fashion | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Oxen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thin Line | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weekly Call | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Valor | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Anoakia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Yesterday | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’sjustanillusion | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andyoushallreceive | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marrazano | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Me Burn | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King Cause | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Cats Blame | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | David’s Memory | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Westwood’s Wizard | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Invasion Looming | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | R Cha Cha | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Summer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zippy Groom | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enaya Alrabb | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sold It | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tiz a Sharpie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Show Hostess | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Orca | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Samandah | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Bennet | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Discrete Stevie B | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soothing | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Avanti Bello | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carville | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfing Star | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Journey | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ground Attack | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plain Wrap | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drizzy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eric the Trojan | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calexman | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Afleet Ascent | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Denman’s Call | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Juanito | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tule Fog | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flip the Coin Jan | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brandothebartender | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Artie B Good | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.