October 14, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Red Bomber |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s a Monster |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Power Booked |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Not in the Mood |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coleslittlemonster |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Summer Star |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reyana Reya Delite |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Carole’s Rainbow |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Grafico |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
D’yer Mak’er |
1.80 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cape Cod Sun |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fairly Bold |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dangerus Notion |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lucky Clemen |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Money Maker |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sea Swap |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rebel Vow |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2A |
2 |
Happier You |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3B |
2 |
Victoria E |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6B |
5 |
Lilly Marie |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1A |
1 |
Afleet Destiny |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Getting Warmer |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
New Jersey |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Secret Zar |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Fatal Flashback |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Storm Babe |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Spring Emperor |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Champagne Chuck |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Controlled Fury |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
American Roma |
0.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cinco Y Cinco |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cheddar Chub |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fleet First |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Air Quality |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bellator |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Impactful |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Identifier |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Lee |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Vixsinsfantastkfox |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Decisively |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Surfer Boy George |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sacrificing It All |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Giant Rocks |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
General Bellamy |
1.20 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Trilogy |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Conquest Bigluck E |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
We B Jammin |
1.80 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Noble Kent |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dimension |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Nice Surprise |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Blaze Star |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Not Sure |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Little Dipper |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bobby’s Song |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mia Bella Rossa |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Weekend Babe |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Girls and Guns |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Joycee’s Spirit |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Norma’s Charm |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
8 |
Rapidez |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
9 |
Royalaspen |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Gangbusters |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Canoochee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Lovely Time |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Mill and Gloria |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Paulita |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lil Miss Hotshot |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Batmitzvah |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Unbridledadventure |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mzima Springs |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grazen Honor |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
8 |
B B’s Busted |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Moneyman |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Blinding |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
X Y Runner |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
2 |
Buzz With Alex |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Prep Pride |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
Amodei |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
One More Round |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
9 |
Strong Breeze |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
4 |
Rest Assured |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
5 |
Caniform |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
6 |
Gun for Hire |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.