October 13, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bold Hope 0.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Undercover Cat 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 R U Watchingbud 0.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Cummings Road 0.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Budding 0.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Speightstown Time 0.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lowi Vene 0.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Love That Lute 0.00 6 11-1
8 8 Court Savvy 0.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Stay Determined 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Secretsof the Nile 0.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Worlds Your Oyster 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Beau’s Beauty 0.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Monsoon Rain 0.00 4 8-1
3 2 Peace Seeker 0.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Silent Respect 0.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Hurricane Emily 0.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Goldtown 0.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 My Silent Present 0.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Curlin’s Honor 0.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Lookin to Strike 0.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Mr Ritz (GB) 0.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Strike Me Down 0.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Peppered 0.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Flight Deck 0.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Areocentric 0.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cosmic Hallelujah 0.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Count Forest 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Lauderdale 0.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bay of Rum 0.00 5 9-1
6 6 Water Polo 0.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Amen Alley 0.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Waubaushene 0.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Street Cat Sam 0.00 7.3 14-1
11 10 Silent Emissary 0.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Jimbo Five 0.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Falcon’s View 0.00 4 8-1
4 4 Peace Control 0.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Banana Rama 0.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Miss Ariel 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Clairessence 0.00 5 9-1
8 8 Preferred Guest 0.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 She Calls It 0.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Royal Wedding 0.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 My True Brew 0.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Irish Charm 0.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Pink Scribbles 0.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Brookies Bear 0.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thunder Point 0.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Narrow Escape 0.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Who’s Got It 0.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Polar Light 0.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Honig 0.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Armament 0.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Pipers Warrior 0.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Thunder Ride 0.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Tale of Vienna 0.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Pawnbroker 0.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Nearctic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Yorkton 0.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Holding Gold 0.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Conquest Panthera 0.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Kitten’s Cat 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Hemp Hemp Hurray 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Lady Alexandra 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Hembree 0.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bushrod 0.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 0.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Sweet Little Man 0.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Singandcryindubai 0.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dun Drum 0.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Charlie’s Game 0.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 White Wedding 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Season Hall 0.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Skynyrd 0.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Wiley O’Rielly 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Suitedconnected 0.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Summer Retreat 0.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Strategic Vision 0.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Victor’s Dynasty 0.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Break and Enter 0.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pattison Canadian International S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Markitoff 0.00 3 6-1
6 6 Spring Quality 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Funtastic 0.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Khan (GER) 0.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tiz a Slam 0.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Thundering Blue 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 English Illusion 0.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Johnny Bear 0.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Bandua 0.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Focus Group 0.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Desert Encounter (IRE) 0.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – E. P. Taylor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sky Full of Stars (GER) 0.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Santa Monica (GB) 0.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Starship Jubilee 0.00 5 10-1
3 3 Pollara (IRE) 0.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Elysea’s World (IRE) 0.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Summer Luck 0.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sheikha Reika (FR) 0.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Proctor’s Ledge 0.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Golden Legend (FR) 0.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Valid N Gold 0.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Written 0.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Patmos 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Nadeleine 0.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Unrivaled Soul 0.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Scarlet Bow 0.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Hidden Appeal 0.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Ocean Court 0.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Frost Delay 0.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Can’t Crush This 0.00 8 15-1
10 10 Event Horizon 0.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Abogada 0.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 I Have Feelings 0.00 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.