Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 13, 2018

October 13, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Indygo Bo 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Just Kidding 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Popyhowuspelcupcak 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dedicated to You 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Broken Up 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Shirl’s Ready 4.00 4.5 8-1
8 6 Elwood J 6.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Twisted Rosie 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 We Will Re Joyce 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Bragging Rights 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Atrevida 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Sea Glass 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ciao Luna 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Mongolian Rahy 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ashley’s Charms 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Quinnie 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 My Audubon 15.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Gone to Town 2.00 2.3 4-1
9 6 Lethal Legacy 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 4 Copper Fever 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 5 Arrowsphere 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 2 Jabber Now 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Don’t Pass 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiger Dad 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Asaro 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Spendaholic 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cruel Intention 0.80 2.9 6-1
3 3 Peedie 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Teacher’s Treasure 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Unusual Angel 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marjorie E 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Charmingslew 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Rolling Shadow 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 So Golden 12.00 SCRATCH
9 5 X S Gold 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 4 Mo See Cal 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 3 Thalia 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Sapphire Kid 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tapitha Bonita 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cal Pack Queen 15.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Whata Flirt 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Venice 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Queen Shelly Ann 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Charming Alexis 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Cheyenne Dancer 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Lucky Hand 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Omerta 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 7 Yes Virginia 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 True Martha 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coco Kisses 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Paprika 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Into Rissa 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Smoovie 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Lovely Finish 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Absolutely Perfect 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Tribal Ann 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Encountress 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beau Square 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Princess Roi 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Helen’s Tiger 12.00 SCRATCH
7 4 How About Zero 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 6 S Y Sky 2.50 3 6-1
5 2 Meet and Greet 5.00 3.4 6-1
10 7 Love a Honeybadger 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Ismelucky 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 5 Late ‘n Left 30.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Hailey Rachele 20.00 6.1 11-1
11 8 Family Girl 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 A Salute to Lt Dan 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Two Fifty Coup 1.60 1.8 3-1
13 12 Mr. Class 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Samurai Jack 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Redrock Trail 3.50 4.5 9-1
7 6 Lifesbeengoodsofar 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Jonathantoquick 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bonsail Treasure 15.00 7 13-1
11 10 Magic Bro 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Nations Hope 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Warrensdirtydancer 30.00 8.5 16-1
10 9 Empirical Data 20.00 8.7 17-1
12 11 Silent Musketier 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Chatty 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nice Ice 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ladybug 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Great Return 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Navajo Dreamer (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pursuing The Dream (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Easy Grader 5.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Lightning Dove 10.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Well Hello 5.00 2.9 6-1
12 6 Tyfosha 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 4 Clearly Gone 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 5 Media Tone 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Demigoddess 50.00 5.4 10-1
13 7 Snaked 20.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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