October 12, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Freedom Matters 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Argonne 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Carom 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Propagate 4.50 SCRATCH
5B 5 Hierarchy 1.20 SCRATCH
4B 1 Sargeant Drive 1.20 1.8 3-1
6A 2 Zealous 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 3 Strategic Outlook 6.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Okeamo 1.40 SCRATCH
8 8 Suremoney 20.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Over Salty 30.00 SCRATCH
7B 7 Golden Sequence 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Raging Fire 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Back of the Watch 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 No Hitter 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 8 Devilry 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Abominable Snowman 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 7 Theresa’s Boy 12.00 5.4 10-1
6B 5 Flat Out Jayvien 30.00 6 11-1
9A 6 Trinni Juice 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Royal Asset 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Frisky Magician 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mascarello 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Catch a Cab 8.00 SCRATCH
7 4 H Man 2.00 3.1 6-1
10 6 Honor Up 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 5 Ghost Giant 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ostrolenka 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Mighty Zealous 6.00 4.7 9-1
12 8 Tribecca 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 3 The Crocheron Kid 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 7 We Should Talk 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Novus 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wicked Trick 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Ravage 30.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Ding Dong Ditch 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 2 Metaphorical 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Call the Cat 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 6 Love Nest 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 4 Proximate to Power 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 5 Tiraboschi 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Under the Graydar 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 You’re Killin Me 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 California Night 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Reed Kan 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Regalian 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Ultimateenticement 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Mad Munnys 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mutakaamil 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fortin Hill 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Starting Point 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Family Biz 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Sneakiness 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Spindletop 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Another 5.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Compagno 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Leaveematthegate 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Chateau de Vizille 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Uncle Sigh 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 3 Morrison 1.80 3 6-1
1 1 Lunaire 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 4 Dr. Shane 3.50 4 8-1
9A 5 Single Gem 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Trustworthy 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Consensus Thinking 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Singapore Trader 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Potomac 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Dark N Cloudy 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Strong Side 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Expert 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lem Me Tel Ya 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Bon Raison 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Crea’s Bklyn Law 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Canny 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Grandpa’s Arianna 8.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 Giant Ending 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Enthusiastic Gal 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Discreet Image 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lady Love 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 B Three 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Courageous Change 20.00 SCRATCH
3 1 No Hayne No Gayne 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 2 Arch of Troy 3.50 2.5 5-1
15A 7 My Girl Annie 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 3 Questeq 10.00 4.7 9-1
14 6 Salty Smile 4.00 4.8 9-1
13 5 Mercurian 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 4 Caoimhe 15.00 5.5 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.