October 10, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trusting Friend | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Paulie Walnuts | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dutch Blitz | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nekia | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apollo Eleven | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Piper | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mary Costa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Renee’s Cat | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Socially Driven | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Likeagirl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baccarat Fashion | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Takin It Easy | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trickizar | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hope for the Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | California King | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | American Colossus | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swag (JPN) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Gunpowderandsmoke | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Light Affair | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mrmistakenidentity | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Games | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pleiadian | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rumblin Kyle | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cause He’s Western | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sixshooterjunction | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snowfly | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Watch Your Words | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | So Kitten | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Threethehardway | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Joe Specs | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Tappin Cat | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Samadi Blue | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honor Run | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Padrino’s Heart | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoky Smoke | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brazen Prince | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Akris | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | My Golden Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Secret Rose | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Go Black Betty | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Don’s Escapade | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ms Elegance | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spender | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Conscience | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Willie B Mine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Nick the Cardshark | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doodle Hopper | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Match Up | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Double the Cheers | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Epic Drama | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Prudhoe Bay | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Winter Melody S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barley Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nyx Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Indian Paint | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Flag | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Angel At War | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wowwhatabrat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Ready to Confess | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Sine Wave | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Bishop’s Pond | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Tequilita | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Enthrall | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Hey Niki | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHNDAKASEXPRESS | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | PAMS MASQUERADE | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | RB HOCUS POCUS | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | UPTOWN FLYING FLYNN | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | ZELLS BELLS | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER MHF | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A REAL DIVA | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.