October 8, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gliding By | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | India Mantuana | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheekaboo | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pricedtoperfection | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Fast Broad | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Storm | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coliseum | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Metropol | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Street Image | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loomis | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harmon | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Salah | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lead Star | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saltarin | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Take Charge Lucky | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silent Alarm | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rain Crow | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutaction | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear the Mine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Market Sentiment | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Junior Gilliam | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Pass | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Soul | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Sweet Baboo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Summering | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Candura | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Bigly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lakerball | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ladymidtown | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kopitar | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Curtain | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temple Knights | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Optimum | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conversate | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Juice | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Fox | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scorpio | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Toffee | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Crush | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sauce On Side | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D D’s Lute | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Unusual | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Blu | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smitten Kitten | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rijeka (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Much Better | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spin Lightning | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of Speed | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ship of the Line | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takeo Squared | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | More Ice | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honcho | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Longden (GB) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sheer Flattery | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Strike | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paddock Pick | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Cabbie | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Guinness | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Italiano | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master Singer | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Croatian | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shane Zain | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sensible Thoughts | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chalky (IRE) | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Goldilux | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crackling Bread | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Weather Market | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point to Point | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solarium | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exes N Ohs | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Fort | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.