Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 8, 2018

October 8, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 R Power Grid 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 No More Strippers 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 No Contingency 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Williwaw 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Collin’s Smile 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Bluegrass Demon 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Surfing U S A 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Treasury Stock 0.80 2.3 4-1
10 10 Kowboy Kenny 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Royal Melbourne 30.00 5.1 10-1
4A 4 Cruise Control 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Cloudy Saturday 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 In Excelsis Deo 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Partner’s Power 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Two Car Parade 12.00 5.9 11-1
7A 7 Soul Revival 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 De Punta a Punta 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Loco Lobo 1.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Jersey Fresh 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Arrive in Style 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Li’l Dude L Do It 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ali 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Passport 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 The Fairlee Boys 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10A 10 Extrasexymazzerati 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lori’s Folly 10.00 3.5 7-1
2A 2 Insider 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Full of Hope 2.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Schliffy 2.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Shiitake 3.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Sancho Del Pueblo 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Alexander David 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Six Blade 30.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Guyanese 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10A 10 Miss Rage 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Brandon’s Law 0.80 2.9 6-1
2 2 Glinda 2.50 3.1 6-1
5A 5 Prosperity Gal 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Au Fudge 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Smarty Pi 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sandy Mischief 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Paula’s Dream 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Racheybullbah 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Joanie’s Jitters 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 King Koa 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Cinco Y Cinco 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Doddsprivatelabel 1.80 4.4 8-1
2 2 Salem Loop 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 The Morning Guys 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Master Yank 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sight Line 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 No More Music 20.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Car Fifty Four 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Graves Island 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mr. Romance 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bust Another 2.50 SCRATCH
10B 10 Red Razzo 6.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Cinderela El Crome 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sparticle 10.00 3.1 6-1
8B 5 Winning the Medal 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 4 True Boldness 8.00 3.9 7-1
5A 3 Retrograde 12.00 4 8-1
9 6 Will Munnings 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Assail 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Liz’s Cable Girl 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 4 Zipper’s Hero 4.00 3.5 7-1
4A 3 She’s Stunning 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sky Gold 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Risque’s Diamond 10.00 4.3 8-1
9A 8 La Key 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Love Came to Town 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Billy’s Jump Start 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 We Can Dance 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 People’s Champ 1.80 2 4-1
10 9 Mr. Louis 5.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Secret Secret 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Winter’s Gift 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Our Bruce Edwin 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Claymaker 30.00 6.2 12-1
11 10 Every Step 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Guaranteed 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Venezuelan Success 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Asphalt Paving 20.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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