October 8, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | San Juan Diego | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Local Counsel | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Ops | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Legacy | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unsullied | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Skies Forever | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Style and Grace | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bramble Bay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Emma Lazarus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Seventh Planet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dizzy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Seek and Destroy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Keeneasabean | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Amazima | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Eternally | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Knickerbocker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Passage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Hi Happy (ARG) | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Inspector Lynley | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blacktype (FR) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aquaphobia | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Night Prowler | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Revved Up | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Girlie’s Dream | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Zecha | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tequila Sunday | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gentle Annie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Expense | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aly’s All Out | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon High | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Kind | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Jean Kitten | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Multi Strategy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madding Crowd | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peaceful Feeling | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lips | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Jackie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whyisshesoolucky | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Timing | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merger of Banks | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belleville Spring | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’tweallgetalong | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southeast | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Chamo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shipsandgoods | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fairy Link | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sister Sunday | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chiara Luna | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodbye Brockley | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Henny | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quivery | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Transaction Tax | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Volodina | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bowman’s Beast | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Marriage Fever | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Proud Zip | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charming Indy | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Halloween Horror | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparty Boy | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pegasus Red | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toohottoevenspeak | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orpheus (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dragic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Entirely | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Into the South | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Questionoftheday | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Egoli | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Malibu Mischief | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Monette (FR) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lonely Road | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tradeable | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Guacamole | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaded Lady | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jazzy J | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Factorofwon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Battle Joined | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Touch of Bling | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Run | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Orecchiette | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sister Sophia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rumble Doll | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 4 | Lady Suebee | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6A | 2 | Jumby Bay | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Purrfect Miss | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.