October 7, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Boom Boom | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lynne’s Legacy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jazaalah | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Moccasin | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wheresthemoneyjack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Soot | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Typhoon Harry | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giddymeister | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | We Go Now | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plum Dandy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | St. Reno | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bitte | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Private Joke | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Ghetto | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourque | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reverend Al | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Seeker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jeweled | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Twirling Apples | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo Darlin | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vallestina | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Classy Atlantic | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bunny Yogurt | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Operandi | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Holy Diver | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – L.a. Woman S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yuvetsi | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anonymity | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skye Diamonds | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Tune | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Show It N Moe It | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Student | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kristie’s Heart | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cioppino Pasadino | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gemini Journey | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Todos Santos | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Christy Jackson | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hero for Hire | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’sluckythatway | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Astonishing Tweet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Leroy Pegasus | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Atonarun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Red Envelope | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sir Eddie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nevermissesabeat | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ostini | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Your Jets | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Captain Buzzkill | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thomas Henry | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valiant | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Reckless Gravity | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dynamic Duo | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raise the Gamble | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Forestation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stay in Yo Lane | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Belong to Becky | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calder Vale | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starring John Wain | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy’s C Note | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Concord Jet | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unplayable | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | S On My Chest | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Grazed Me | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starr of Quality | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Spice | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whirling | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ransomed | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jest a Princess | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danuska’s My Girl | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Swingtime S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | India Mantuana | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shehastheritestuff | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fahan Mura | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way to Versailles | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cordiality | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Tulip (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Okinawa | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Achira | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quebec | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barleysugar (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Impasse | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.