October 7, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Golden Brew | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 1 | Eliav | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Glominator | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lone Pioneer | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Three Outlaws | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pollo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | T. Jay’s Last Call | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Annie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Amazing Audrey | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Kitty | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Classic Lady | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Naples Legacy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hera | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Muchacha Uno | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Jen | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Codrington | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lemon Zip | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunshine Gal | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Freeload | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fooch | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grandmas Favorite | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Siena Magic | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clyde’s Runner | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Telecommunication | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vettel | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Da King and I | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Three Eighty Eight | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Creation | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Loyalty | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Quality | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eight Minute Ellie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stars Wilburn | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12A | 12 | Time Expired | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blue Skies Forever | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Packed House | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Blitz | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Boston | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millies Party Boy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golconda | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Neutral Zone | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Platinum Nugget | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ninja Boys | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Old Boy | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decadence | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Futurity S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Credit Swap | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dragic | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veterans Beach | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Swamp Rat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Heart | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Uncle Benny | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bizzee Channel | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stole E | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Money | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neverland Rock (GB) | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Backtohisroots | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fayette Warrior | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Princess | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Covfefe | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jaywalk | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nonna Madeline | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sue’s Fortune | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cassies Dreamer | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Me to Hardoon | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brucia La Terra | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flower Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fourstar Crook | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Helena | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Escape | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Montdore | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Onthemoonagain (FR) | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danceland | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feeling Bossy | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Skychief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Winning Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Strong One | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Party With Friends | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lisbon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Highway Flyer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bad Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | A Thread of Blue | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Greyes Creek | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | State of War | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Munny Thief | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.