Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 6, 2018

October 6, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wee Miss Dorothy 0.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 It’s Grace 0.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lady Rebel 0.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Somersby 0.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Duchess of Lynn 0.00 5 9-1
6 6 Create an Edge 0.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 True Ambition 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Articulate 0.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Rebel Witha Chance 0.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Timberline 0.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Missy Crissy 0.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Blue Pearls 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Lovin Spoon Phil 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Sayyestoxcelence 0.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Irish You Luck 0.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Dazzle Me 0.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Silent Memories 0.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Durdle Door 0.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Mahone Bay 0.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Con Artist 0.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Crumlin Express 0.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Princess Lila 0.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Meet You At Home 0.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Achainoflove 0.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Red Sails 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Misguided Passion 0.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Tricky Sonet 0.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Unrivaled Soul 0.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Agosta 0.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Patmos 0.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Raspberry Wild 0.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Conquest Rapiduno 0.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Caspian Jewel 0.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Roansmoke 0.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Peggy’s Cove 0.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Mo Cion Daonnan 0.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Mad Slam 0.00 5 9-1
9 8 Dancing Doll 0.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 The Bear Factor 0.00 6 11-1
5 5 My Lady Anna 0.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Cobra Casablanca 0.00 6.9 13-1
11 10 Ka Gee Gee 0.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Jade’s Journey 0.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Madame Bovery 0.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Flashy Gizmo 0.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Shamruckus 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 5 Kewanne 0.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Crumlin Gal 0.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Firey and Gorgeous 0.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Data Princess 0.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Naupaka 0.00 5.8 11-1
9 7 Double Crossed 0.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Escondera 0.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Chiricahua Signal 0.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Front Nine 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Walkabout Creek 0.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Chill 0.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Harper P M 0.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Silent Contempt 0.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Salieri 0.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Cash Dividend 0.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mazarine S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Comic Kitten 0.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lady Azalea 0.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Not Orbinary 0.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Tiz Breathtaking 0.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Carnival Colors (GB) 0.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Crumlin Time 0.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Jolie Bay 0.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cindervella 0.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Subzero Plus 0.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Bridlewise 0.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 She’s Got Fire 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Forest Halo 0.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Lisa’s Escarpment 0.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Red Riot 0.00 6 11-1
5 5 Jack’s Memory 0.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Alkeline 0.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Downy Boy 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Timeskip 0.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Studio B 0.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Spirit of York 0.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Station Rock 0.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Red Frog 0.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Serengeti Cat 0.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Frobisher Bay 0.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Countryside Drive 0.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Dance for Papa 0.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Mambointheforest 0.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.