October 6, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Perfectly Majestic | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kencumin (FR) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marckie’s Water | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Juanito | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fabozzi | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sawyer’s Hill | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Any Questions | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tough It Out | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cashman (FR) | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accountability | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peachy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veiled Heat | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Base | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eurasia | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Kathy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luv Is All U Need | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coco Loco Mama | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Ice | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Treasure | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Easy Shot | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Dude | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emtech | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Haydens Havoc | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manhattan Up | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lagoon Macaroon | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Speakeasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Owning | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hartel | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mae Never No (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Mystery | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Its Gonna Hurt | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whooping Jay | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Principe Carlo | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roy H | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ransom the Moon | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edwards Going Left | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horse Greedy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distinctive B | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Go On Mary | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Painting Corners | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rubilinda | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poster Girl (GB) | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Southern Miss | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deer Valley | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Little Bit Me | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Symposium (GB) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Shopper | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ketos | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eighty Three | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monterey Shale | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Turf | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Braddock | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freddies Dream | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Tovar | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holland Road | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harrovian | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Microrithms | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Rule of King’s | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | K Thirty Eight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Best Two Minutes | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Solid Wager | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Jungle Warfare | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Anywhere | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jan’s Reserve | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | More Honor | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Duper Cooper | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Boy Howdy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Caray | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Madarnas | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – City Of Hope Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Samurai | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fly to Mars | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flamboyant (FR) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | White Flag | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Touch (GB) | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mithqaal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ohio (BRZ) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Le Ken (ARG) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pyscho Sister | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Seeker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Zapana’s Game | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Psychedelicat | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aquila | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katzumoto | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Downside Up | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Latitude | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kinematico | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lucky Patrick | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Zombie | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pacific Song | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stylistics United | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Johann’s Command | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Michael Mundo | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Velvet Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | True Validity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Colonial Creed | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Diva | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hyde Park Corner (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Contessa | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Encanta | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barbadolla | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Bubbles | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Archana | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Courteous | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be a Shero | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magical Smile | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bellazano | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.