October 6, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Starlite Mission | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Out of Orbit | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Sizzle | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Roxy Girl | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Simona | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Tricks | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Family Biz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Empire of War | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hubba Bubba | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | North Dakota | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Justcallmenorman | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malthael | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Treaty | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tintoretto (GER) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ian Glass | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Country House | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Throw Down | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traveling | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kadens Courage | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Charge | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Am Spartacus | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiergan | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettor Bank On It | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show Prince | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No More Miracles | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Man | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clear the Ramp | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rouxhere | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Covey | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking the Rules | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Bonus | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Second Mate | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bird’s Eye View | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Ramsey | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Krewe Chief | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zinger | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Satisfy | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Birthday | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Piedi Bianchi | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wisconsin Night | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Won | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Heroic Activist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady Grace | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Princess Trina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Paradise Retained | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shannon’s Girl | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Glory | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honey Parade | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Leah Angel (GB) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adamant | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiple (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Teenage Idol | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rotate | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Periodical | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haafilah | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Isabelle’s Joy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Getmotherarose | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maniacal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Simon Bar Sinister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Disco Partner | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pure Sensation | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blind Ambition | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Proforma | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pocket Change | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gidu (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Beldame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Divine Miss Grey | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Verve’s Tale | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wow Cat (CHI) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Farrell | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come Dancing | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teresa Z | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Berned | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamcall | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ride a Comet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Raging Bull (FR) | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | March to the Arch | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have At It | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cullum Road | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prioritize | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sand Dancer | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Brown | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Complexity | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endorsed | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trophy Chaser | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Paul | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Code of Honor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aurelius Maximus | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Achilles Warrior | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Successful Zip | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Listing | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Casa Creed | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beaux Arts | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Something Joyful | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Cat | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wantagh Queen | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Treasure | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spa Treatment | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Lady | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Squeeze | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly Courageous | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cirque | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiffanys Freud | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merlins Muse | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.