October 5, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tuscany Beauty | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forthenineteen | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballerina Headline | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miz Tianjin | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chiefs Lil Pearl | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Linda | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C. R. Golden Queen | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crackling Bread | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Waze Ready | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | She Be Striking (GB) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stradella Road | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dearborn | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Screenshot | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Second Fiddle | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Gray | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madaket Sunset | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orageuse | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kaydetre | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Imperial Creed | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Press | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen of the Track | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jellybeankristine | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twitterati | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spicy Curry | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Suzzett | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cat Holic | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Falls | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Venue | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | London Hotel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desired Edge | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Z Z Tiger | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zillinda | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minister’smistress | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grey Tsunami | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Lassie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Adore You | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fabozzi | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cimpl Man | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Point Piper | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secreto Primero | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play Hard to Get | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saxon Lord | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lewis Vale | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Big Train | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapid Red | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Upper Room | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wise Curlin | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Platinum Equity | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Haylord | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Gulch | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit World | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schoenhardt | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Arch | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kylemore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Andesh (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Chila | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Move Over (GB) | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Sphinx | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extrordinary Jerry | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Musketier | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Epical | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Proposition | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Elevate | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Law Breaker | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Rebel | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Obscure Brew | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | June Two Four | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bank Walker | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game of Roans | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Activated | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Armed Wall | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ironic Ron | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Severin | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.