October 4, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Leia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Beautiful Becca | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sekhmet’s Revenge | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Believe Indeed | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Topaz Time | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Subic Bay | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Road Test | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Award It | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pitino | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justin’s Quest | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasant d’Oro | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holly Blame | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Classic | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Unusual | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blueberry Princess | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cassie Belle | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’tbeboisterous | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apache Princess | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gotta Be Lucky | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sedamar | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | K P’s Smokin | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | As a Rule | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Monte | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Married by Now | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Spark | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jabber Now | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garrulous Gal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookingforthewire | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Complete Discreet | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sassy Kitty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Athleisure | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Image | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curryforthree Bang | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Dharma | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Borussia | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thanks | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awepollonia | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frisky Fox | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Jeanette | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Becky | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Portal Creek | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hola Mazuma | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | American Heart | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gato Del Oro | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Shivermetimbers | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ike Walker | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | El Huerfano | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Giant Influence | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ferguson | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pepe Tono | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goodwillambassador | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | East Rand | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rinse and Repeat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worthy Turk | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tidal Effect | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Souter (GB) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snazzy Dresser | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Hollywood | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Starting Bloc | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heartfullofstars | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bartlett Hall | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victor’s Show | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thefourfortyfourth | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotnoquit | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Powerful Thirst | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | For the Hustle | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vegas Itch | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin B | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Giant | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Achieved | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pulpit’s Dirty Red | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boogie | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Skagit River | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.