October 4, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Janie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Archumybaby | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Miss Nancy | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daria’s Angel | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clairvoyant Lady | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Madame Barbarian | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Killeen | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coltandmississippi | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Queens Jules | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Year of the Kitten | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hills Pond | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phone Funky Munky | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meilleur | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | J J’s Dreaming | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Cause I’m Alex | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Broadway Bay | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aveenu Malcainu | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stretch’s Stone | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clutch Cargo | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mid Day Image | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Empiremeister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beach Front | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pier Forty | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waynes Footsteps | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Impazible Odds | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quiet Out East | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cozzy’s Posse | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Adversary | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Honorable Hero | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Highest Rank | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Will Dancer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King for a Day | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Pete | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Phantom | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tacitus | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Wildcat | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Felix the Fox | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Defender | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sindarius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Another | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Show Court (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Clyde’s Image | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Diddley | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eagle Pass | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prognostication | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Overnight Success | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ninety One Assault | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Frontier | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desperado | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Apartfromthecrowd | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bootlegger (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Japonski | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Adonis Creed | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ventry Bay | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hoboe | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Fuel the Bern | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Acoustic | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rappel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Picture Day | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Kathryn the Wise | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Special Relativity | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pacific Gale | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Play Unified | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Andesine | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Go Astray | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Mischief | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ballston | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sacrifice | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jasmine’s Gem | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wise Strike | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Into Glamour | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Malkia | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lolli | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love Mo | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | True Yankee | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Appreciate | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.