October 3, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monterey Marianne | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cuckoo Forcononuts | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kissin Cassie | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spender | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Queen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sterlings Dolly | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Composed | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Know What Im Sayin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Eagle Caviar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Firing Licks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mellow Chico | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Radcliffe Royale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Confusion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Exclusive Express | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Purrs Again | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Petion Night | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Wild Prayer | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Boondoggle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Geronimo’s Spirit | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Second Encore | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Brazen Dancer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Tocayo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Mr. October | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | El Grillo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Un Paso Alante | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dukin’ With Dale | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bonetown Wild | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Iron Bank | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Play Me Now | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Assemblyman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Kid Rocks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wowza Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Samadi Blue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Creative Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | He’ll Do | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Skole | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Noble Authority | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Falls | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Thomond Park | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Mind the Gap | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Boss of Bourbon St | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Crazy Magic | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Elfitz | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Timeless Curls | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patriotic Endeavor | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Way to Escape | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kodiak Katie | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Charge It | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feelin Foxie | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | To Be Or Not to Be | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Shanghai Pete | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Apachean | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Transom | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Brown Essence | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Antonio Hansby | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Can’t Pass It Up | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Smart Face | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Quick Man | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Csabawaba | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Silver Duke | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rockys Warrior | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Off the Bourbon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Philjangle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Li’l Miss Trouble | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Server | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rivetrix | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wedding Salsa | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Nekia | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Talks in Her Sleep | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Angels Altar | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Treasure | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Telling Me Softly | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blazing D. R. | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | On Shore Leave | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pride Leader | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Zefiro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Worth His Salt | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rol Again Question | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Metallic | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grecian Prince | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stand Guard | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Bear | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapir | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unpredictable | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | RB GAIM CHANGER | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | MIZZDORA | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | FORTAISSA | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | RV ROULETTE | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | SMOKE EN FIRE | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | RB WICKED RICH | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.