October 3, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pretentious | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neverindicted | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truly a Moon Shot | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride On Faith | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Appealing Henry | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild William | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Causforcelebration | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | U S S Archerfish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stag of Sylvia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Engine | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Smokin Platinum | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Light the Posse | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Chasindamoney | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Throw the Fade | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hot Sriracha | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dark N Cloudy | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ajnaas | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Catoria | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wisconsin Night | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Violent Times | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Birthday | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aunt Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Glossy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Libby’s Tail | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Length | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eloweasel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mrs. Ramona G. | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Appeal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Richie’slilwildcat | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | With Exultation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Freud | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cloontia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mobridge | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Baronet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 6 | Blue Belt | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Peculiar Sensation | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Tiz a Chance | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Quai Voltaire | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Bold Illusion | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ruvies in Time | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alphabetting | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wilbur’s Charm | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Nation | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | B B Molly | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Margie Cat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pendolino | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bull Feathers | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Filly Ride | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Three Perfections | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | County Court | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Commissioner | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Convivial | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gosilently | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pocket Player | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Eyck | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Knight | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Ninja | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Florentine Kitten | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mamma White Socks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Starlite Mission | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Summer Squeeze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spring Folly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chiclet’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Lovely La La | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Theaterintheround | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cumbria | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14A | 11 | Ascender | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Southern Gal | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Danielle’s Pride | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’sakittykat | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cha Cha Heels | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sundance Joy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Freddymo Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Niko’s Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | She Makes Me Smile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Marquet Legacy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Princess | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galadriel’s Light | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Zip It Jess | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mike’s Girl | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Docs Way | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | D’s Sis | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Paradiso | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 12 | Abraxan | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Button Candy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Kept True | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Winifred J | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.