October 1, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Trappe Play |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bourbon Honey |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Little Miss May |
1.20 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bellamy Cat |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Am On My Way |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Star Lo |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mi Gal Fren |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Viva Nevada |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hasty Nic |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tears and Roses |
1.40 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ghost Magi |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
La Nena de Papa |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dudes Rockin Lady |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wink for Me |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
5 |
Pink Princess |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
6 |
Coupella |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
2X |
5 |
Tale of Promise |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
3 |
Ignite |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pink Mama |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
1 |
Gangbusters |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Lil Miss Hotshot |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Blaze Star |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tap the Mark |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Jump for Alex |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Splicethemainbrace |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Factor It In |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Billy Youre Fired |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mount Travers |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Follow the Dog |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Megan’s Muse |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
One Tough Angel |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anna May Our Queen |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Love You Babe |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Don’s Escapade |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Meeting |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baltimore Beauty |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dancing Cool |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Congressionalstorm |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Include Gold |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Find the Money |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Party Rock |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Axe Capital |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Julia Chubouli |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Celesse |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lookingforanewspot |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star of Midnight |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
To the Flag |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady Keswick |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Marnesia Big Girl |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Amandasromeo |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Light Hearted |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Horologist |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Getouttamyway |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Group Text |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
My Star Potential |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
She’s Primo |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Pascha Pascha |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Fireman Oscar |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
I Am the Man |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jersey Joe B |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tally Mo |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dancing Bull |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Correjon |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swell |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Captain Sam |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Nile Gold |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
6 |
Insider |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Corsario |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
3 |
Captain Cade |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Our Lunatic |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gran Fortress |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Forest River |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Schliffy |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beyond Honor |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Match the Pot |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
B C F’s Outrageous |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rebel Vow |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.