September 29, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Get the W | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bennyluvspoker | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lost Iron | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy A. P. | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vow’s Son | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musical Comedy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caniform | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Final Blessing | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Choice | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rebel Vow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jacopone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Flashonforty | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Breeze | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Space | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grafico | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talented Max | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cool Fuse | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Money Maker | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tampa Bay Blue | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Harley B | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Window Table | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Coach Adams | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hidden Funds | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shane’s Jewel | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Drummer Don | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mantle | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Conscience | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ruble | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Make It Easy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 0.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wizard of Odds | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause for Surprise | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battle Tap | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Final Jeopardy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Motowncharlybrown | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Universal Payday | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sit Down Grandpa | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Mischief | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bank Note | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fontana Di Oro | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dubrovsky | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Surfer Boy George | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Noon Time Gem | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Global Access | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grumps Little Tots | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vero Sun | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pnutbutter Special | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lawyer Roy | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Vacation | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud and Furious | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mother Ginger | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jill Madden | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Daisy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hola Princess | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teufles and Roses | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Cool Cat | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elnath | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Bird of Trey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 9 | Roethlisberger | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Sir Alfred | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Adulation | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2X | 8 | Brockton George | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | My Pirate | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fillet of Sole | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Southern Wild | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Smooth Don B | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boyd Crowder | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Pahall Revear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Boilermaker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Global Positioning | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | R Jolley Dreamer | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saltine Warrior | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Street Tail | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rossie Val | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pharaoh’s City | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Greed Is Good | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Salt It Here | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Estrickator | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.