September 29, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cherished Prize | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arbutus | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumpstartmyheart | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vinny Gorgeous | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Congrats Graduate | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jah Grace | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fine N Dancy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pensy Moll | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Seeking the Sunset | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Banjo Bill | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sindarius | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Redeemed Gentleman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hills Pond | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | No More Talk | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bo Vuk | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jump Jive an Wail | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Uno Dancer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Paul the Waiter | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Storm Net | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Red Clay Road | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Posterity | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Mama | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Great Rhythm | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Queen Francis | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Southern Peach | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Senora de Lujan | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bring It On Home | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Find S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spartianos | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Belfour | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tizzarunner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Howard | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Phlash Phelps | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | O Dionysus | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sonny Inspired | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | John Jones | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Saratoga Bob | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Enough Is Enough | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dothat Dance | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Shine Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Innocent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Cairenn | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tweeting | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Angel At War | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cee Bee Gee Bee | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Munificent | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barley Jack | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Squan’s Kingdom | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Challedon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Belfour | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Top of Mind | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Siem Riep | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Glory Stars | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rockinn On Bye | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Old Time Revival | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tour de Force | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honor the Fleet | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Cover | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flash McCaul | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Union Blues | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Panthera | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Grasshoppin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Night Prowler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Projected (GB) | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Siem Riep | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Abiding Star | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Irish Strait | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | O Dionysus | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Doctor Mounty | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Dalarna | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bald Eagle Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Way Early | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Salt Air | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Channel Cat | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Neepawa | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Admission Office | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Nakamura | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jailhouse Kitten | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Peace of Ekati | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – All Brandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chubby Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | My Sistersledge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Peach of a Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Annie Boo Boo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Capucine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Complete St. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Good Roll | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Saint Main Event | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Riley’s Choice | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Majestic Reason | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Irish Access | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Justa Scoch | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Caught Dream’n | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Beyond Forever | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Proud Maid Marian | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Expect Wonderful | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | You Shall Not Pass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Angelinas Star | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Louise | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4A | 2 | Princess Donna | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dreaming of Dewey | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | C V’s Wild Child | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Princess Killmain | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Measured | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | General Downs | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stolen Love | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brighton Lane | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Time Man | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdies Honor | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Special Intention | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Menacing | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ticker Tape Parade | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Praise the Moon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Throw the Deuce | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Wings | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Lane | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Walk | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sidewalk Prophet | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.