September 29, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | So Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | White Bluff | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whyruawesome | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whateverybodywants | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Deal Driven | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Social Stranger | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double Whammy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Liberty Lane | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jonimarie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shrew Meaning | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tex Mee a Kiss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Sunset | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Port Salerno | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Increased Scrutiny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Soldat House | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ivanya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 2 | Dr. Llenado | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Queen Nekia | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 3 | Single Mission | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Alydarius | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Young Dude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | High Frequency | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Battle Ready | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Burning Wild | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Marine | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stone Crazy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smart But Foolish | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Souper Knight | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bannon | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Astute Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silver Dagger | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gorsuch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wild Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stand Guard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Asset Allocation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Odlum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chateau de Vizille | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gilgimesh | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Western Crusader | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Postino’s Vow | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 7 | Super Buddy | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jeezum Jim | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Salt Air | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Stadium | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Dattt Melody | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Dtha Governors Day H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Honor the Fleet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bronx Sandman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Dr Blarney | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Scat Blue | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twocubanbrothersu | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Unbridled Juan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Even Thunder | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fellowship | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Epic Drama | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Discreetly Placed | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Looks Good | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hey Willie | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Malibu Action | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Polished Steel | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Papacho | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Took Over | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Apolodorodedamasco | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Division One | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sterling Canyon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thatwouldbegrand | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aspect | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lippi Lorenzo | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come Sundown | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tybalt | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sapphire Shilling | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tap the Mark | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Destructive Flo | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Code Name Brody | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Judge | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Success Hurricane | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Smithwick’s Spice | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Iron Lion | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – George Rosenberger Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Good Roll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bombshell | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dynatail | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Madame Milan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | West Coast Bias | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aciano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Last Promise Kept | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Sandy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Madame X. | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Party Boat | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Broken Bridle | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Giovanna Blues | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Arraign | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Owesaycanyousee | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Clare’s Dowery | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Well Acquainted | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 17 | 8 | I’m Pretty Strong | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Small Wonder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Bettyann | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Clever Sarah | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knock Out Kid | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Cat Gee | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Start the Show | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Lak | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blameitonthekiss | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sterling Queen | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rolling Bobby | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ruby Punch | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yesterdaysplan | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Raging Blaze | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Esterina | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Flashy Moment | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Earned the Shot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hailey’s Flip | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shimmering Aspen | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | White Gold Chanel | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royalty for Life | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fillupcohensapiker | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Furiosa | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buff’s in Love | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moon Virginia | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – New Castle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Howboutthemcowboys | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Evil Monkey | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Winplaceorshowono | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nico Bree N Teej | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Final Prospect | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bubba’s Will | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling General | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cozze Cat | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Guinness Spice | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Delaware Park Arabian Juvenile Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | BURN EM JOEY | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | RB SUPER DUTY | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | BIG BEN AA | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A REAL DIVA | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | RB TEXAS HOLD EM | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | UPTOWN CRUISEDIRECTOR | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.