September 28, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Along Came Mizzy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Super Twenty Five | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Full of Drama | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Iwasbornawinner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Tri Poker | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Money Fromheaven | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Introduced | 0.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mia Gift | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bestatgettinbetter | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ribbon Winner | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tel Aviv | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Lookin Sharp | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colton’s Horseplay | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tempted by Tito’s | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chulita | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Zig | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Jamestown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Promisemethemoon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Ready to Run | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | River Gal | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tolaga Bay | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bear Trappe | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drosselmoon | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Payneful | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfect Exchange | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whirlin Curlin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dutch Blitz | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Andy | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord of Misrule | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Double Sky | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Fixit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Mic | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thalia’s Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Saturday’s Rein | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Veil Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Flyingontheground | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Corvid | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Grace Isabella | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Be Humble | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Cocktail Waitress | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Temple Sky | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | D’wildcat Sunshine | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | A Star At Last | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Out of Juice | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Hold That Kiss | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweethearted | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Include a Check | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firth | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Friesia | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Veil | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Towson | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nightmare | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Doozy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Marvelous Martha | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Royal Brown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Nina’s Patience | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Straight Tequila | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Petticoatsnpistols | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbonstreetlady | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rein Supreme | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rightupyouralley | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tizadoozi | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Krantiguru | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cherokee Fire | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Star Seed Child | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Linedancer | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame Julie | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out of the Way | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simonela | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Escort | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brownie Break | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stella Nova | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Little United | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Faze the Nation | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Phantom Shot | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Polite Pearl | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady by Choice | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Finding Perfection | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Margie’s Money | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He’s Pretty Clever | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Top Hat Tune | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unequivocal | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shelly Island | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aces and Faces | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bay of Rocks | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rapidashcat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spanish Skies | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Joey Gotcha | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Rapunzels Cat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Publishanditerate | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Federal Walk | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | French’s Quest | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runabout | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Just Steve | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Pal Jerry | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fiery Challenge | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.