September 28, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Boastful Contessa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sunfest |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Crystal Avalanche |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Play That Tone |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Three Questions |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Venezuelan Spirit |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Surely Temple |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
J. P. Calling |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
C C’s Freedom |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Perla Preciosa |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Right On |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
R Lucky Dice |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Who’s Calling |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Sammie Sunshine |
0.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Paola |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Wildcat Beauty |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Enigmatica |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Freckles Kan |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Memorize |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Vitaemi |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silver Threads |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vibrant Spirit |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Winning Game |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Run Blondie Run |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Barbados Kitten |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cosita Rica |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tikitaca |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crumb Bun |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
A Bit of Both |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gran Diamond |
4.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
R True Sensation |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Looking for More |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paisley Princess |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Isadorable Aida |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hendaya |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Glory Roll |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Big Boy Bruno |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Albert Charles |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Completely Bonkers |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiger Paw |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spring Up |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abbot |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Regal Force |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s a Given |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royalston |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Escape Velocity |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Love Tree |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Return |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Galileo’s Affair |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Freedom |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Song of Melody |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Liza Star |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Dancing Starlet |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lil Bay Corvette |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Dr. Cotton Jen |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Dancing Noelle |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Something Bird |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Ox Bro |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Remember the Maine |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Stay On Base |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Gran King of Kings |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coniston |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Can’ttakeitwithyou |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Difamante |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Stay in Cruise |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Two Step Alpha |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rupp |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Express Jet |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Scam |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Take Notice |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Field Trip |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Successful Roman |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Over Promised |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
11 |
9 |
Empire Power |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Minute Madness |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
8 |
Silver Defense |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
6 |
Red Hot Randy |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Michelle’z Laugh |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Zarabanda |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
S S Illuminati |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nailed It |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stormy Arabella |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Soldiers Pride |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Glamorous Thunder |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Sassy |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peggity |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ashley’s Rose |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Princess Zoe |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Lotus Flower |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sunshine Treasure |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.