September 27, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tortilla | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Dangerus Notion | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Dangerus Hearted | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seventyseven Force | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | General Gold | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dynamic Dude | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Light Affair | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bama Bound | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Mr. Blue | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Visual Effect | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Koa | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josey Wales | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Get Away | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Troopingthecolor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Markofsuccess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Optical Illusion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bugsy’s Moment | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Joe the Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Eliminator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mister Obvious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stamped | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | High Flying Guy | 1.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cannavaro | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Brushed by Fire | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Nile Kingdom | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Recliner | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Journeyonthemove | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simply Great | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slewzer | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timuquana Place | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Hen Madness | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winnie Bay Go | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost On the Stairs | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beyond the Victory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Swope | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Brother Tez | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Thatwouldbegrand | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Readytotapit | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Harbour Way | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Champagneonme | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Crypto Currency | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Caladan | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Threethehardway | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Jabbar | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tbtwelve | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flamingo Park | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Padrino’s Heart | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Puttheglassdown | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Irish Mail | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mercusio | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Celtic Treasure | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chocomount | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bound Bi Luck | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Conscripted | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | National Honor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chosen Royal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Inchesky (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dilutem | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barton Holt | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pop Rocks Lady | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Sky Ace | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Purring Valentine | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rachaels Way | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Honey Money | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Sister | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Valentina | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Thing | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hope for the Dance | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love That Fountain | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | BIG EYE | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | UPTOWN SWEET CAROLINE | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | RB BLASTFROMTHEPAST | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | ROYAL MOONLIGHT | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | HIGHH SPIRITS | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | MARSANNE MHF | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | MURPHY MHF | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | TREASURE THESS | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.