September 27, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | La Cat Warrior | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Blurred Line | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Tiz No Bluff | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Slot | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stronger | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Single Gem | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Desert Lights | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Problem Solving | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mazmania | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Formal Event | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Whim | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impazible Creek | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing Justine | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Trinni | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paranoia | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Mikayah | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rahy’s Bandit | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Buff | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plainsman | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Prophet | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point to Remember | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Transistor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sir Ballantine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Roman Approval | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Daddy D T | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bad Student | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fox Rules | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Giant Run | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Mr Maybe | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tusk | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Hockey School | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mills | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Mason Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wild William | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Causforcelebration | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bunyan’s Axe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tell Me Ma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stag of Sylvia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tangra | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Cross Multiply | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Global Impact | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Tammany Giant | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Thefinalcrazydude | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Imasuperstar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Distortion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joy Drive | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alright Alright | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wrong Ben | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Missle Bomb | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King Kranz | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Halloween Horror | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon N Rye | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Escape | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenency | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Encryption Key | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legion Storm | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unsullied | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kavansberg | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Tough | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Black Tide | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Control Group | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | March | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Profiteer | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Night Prowler | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blacktype (FR) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Time Expired | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Good Old Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Neutral Zone | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Worries Mate | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spa Jazz | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Straitouta Congtin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Martini Lane | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scrutinize | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Shuffling Madness | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decadence | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Man of Chrome | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.