September 26, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moon Magic | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Lucas n’ Lori | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Seguimi | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Homefortheweekend | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Roman Nomen | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Pay for Peace | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Touch of Disney | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ted W | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ratface Macdougall | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Slew | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nupogodi | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speightstown Time | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Storm | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Dancer | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Legal | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Pass | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Badjeros Boy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sine Metu | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Poquito Bandito | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelbourne | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Artifact | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alyssa’s Reward | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted Rhythm | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apollo Benfica | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hardy Candy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twitter Storm | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tallulah Darling | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classy Vision | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Express Banking | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kewanne | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Wedding | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystery Day | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ami’s Link | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Springdetti | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forestella | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touch of Emma | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fresh Dreams | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Bear | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Meadow | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bear On Fire | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Red At Last | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Love That Lute | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Dan the Tin Man | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Summit | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Kitten’s Solution | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Milwaukee Magic | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tethra’s Magic | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Colors | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 6 | Cuatthefinishline | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Gizmo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ask the Boss | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 7 | Halo Laelia | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 5 | Kallan | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Tornado Cat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 4 | Victory Cry | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Saucy | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 8 | Bel Ayr Bay | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.