September 23, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Piper Hill |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Starship Thor |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Tuffy’s Lucky |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
What the Chub |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Lon’s True Passion |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
7 |
Padilla |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
12 |
8 |
Scout’s Honor |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
King’s House |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jose Sea View |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Reedini |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
13 |
9 |
Jifquick |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
5 |
Tequesta Storm |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Colmont Fire |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
6 |
Relentless Strike |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
14 |
10 |
Fionn Mc Cool |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Cerulean Springs |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vineyard |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
To Blave |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tambora |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Campari |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Generalist |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Whynotwyatt |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Eagle Caviar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Bunyan’s Axe |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Freeload |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Wiggins |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
7 |
Iwishiwaspecial |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Easyzip |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
2 |
Ghostly Affair |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
12 |
9 |
Trade the Pick |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
8 |
Brazen Dancer |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
5 |
Slim |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
The Constable |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
13 |
10 |
Phantom Spot |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
1 |
A Rose by Any Name |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
4 |
Eighty Bucks |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Oakley S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Northern Eclipse |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Sister Says |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Up Hill Battle |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Altamura |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
4 |
What the Beep |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Do What I Say |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
5 |
Virginia Fable |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Secret Or Not |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Victory Rally |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ghoul’s Night Out |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Another Broad |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Velocita Brillante |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bring Me Answers |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lunar Rille |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Value Added |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Punch Line S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Determined Vision |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lime House Louie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Rucker |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Braxton |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Unbeatable |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Two Notch Road |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Elusive Mischief |
3.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Homespun Hero |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
5 |
Fly E Dubai |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Available |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Divine Interventio |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hip Hop |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Hissy Fit |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
A Great Time |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Flashly |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sensible Myth |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Glittering Judy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
3 |
Tiger Eyes |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
5 |
Bye Bye Blues |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
2 |
Dorothy Vaughan |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Trufflesberg |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
4 |
Polarization |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Rol Again Question |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
No More Talk |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Taco Supream |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
In Arrears |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Odds On |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Big City Blues |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
6 |
Magritte |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Magician’scalendar |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
7 |
Stomp Dance |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Glory Hound |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bert Allen S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Special Envoy |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Speed Gracer |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Accountable |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Black Prong |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Officer’s Oath |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
River Deep |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
2 |
Unpredictable |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
4 |
Runninginthevale |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
1 |
Vincent Van Gogo |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
6 |
Jump Ship |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
5 |
Macue |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
12 |
7 |
Whiskey Wu |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Canny |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Chauncey |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Aciano |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Madame Milan |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Going Out |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Panzacola (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Magic Hatter |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ponti Scheme |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
2 |
Conjecture |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
1 |
Enthrall |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
12 |
4 |
Saida |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
3 |
Overnegotiate |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Brookmeade S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
My Vixen |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Daniella |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Sweet Sandy |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Complete St. |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
5 |
Armoire |
1.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Well Blessed |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Secret Or Not |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
3 |
Paulita |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
6 |
Street Miz |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
4 |
Wolverette |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Patriot Saint |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Young American |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bob’s My Uncle |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Redneck Cowboy |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Here’s Paco |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kierland |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Super Vision |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wildly Clever |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.