September 22, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Samurai Queen | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calais Cat | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Dawn | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Honoured | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marner | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonstone | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance for Daddy | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moments to Saver | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dani’s Victory | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeiseverything | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Fly Over | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Contempt | 0.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sumerian Bell | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sniper | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish River | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Money Talker | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Virga | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forester’s Forum | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watch Me Strut | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ault | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Remembermis | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Music | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cito | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raspberry Wild | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roxham | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Khawlah | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ring for Essa | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Sails | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misguided Passion | 0.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Meet You At Home | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Conquer the Course | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Falls (IRE) | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Event Horizon | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Rapiduno | 0.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slovenia | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unrivaled Soul | 0.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Bid’s Kid | 0.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Dubhe | 0.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Penny a Point | 0.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Entropy | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Written | 0.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nadeleine | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Seeker | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Eh | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abby Grace | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valid N Gold | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glib Marylin | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Celtic Singer | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Dolce Uno | 0.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ready’s Princess | 0.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dance Ready | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maisie | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | World Riot | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Asha Ironborn | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Julie’s Tap Dancer | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promise Me Bourbon | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forest Lass | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Piper’s Heath | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Chill | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 0.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King and His Court | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ethical Funds | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Sea (FR) | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drumcliff | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bangkok | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodbridge | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin for Eight | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Victorian Queen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Preferred Guest | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Georgian Dancer | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Mistake | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moksgmol | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ishiyaya | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notice Me | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Katla’s Fury | 0.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Grace | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Poem | 0.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monsoon Rain | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | March of Dreams | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twentytwentycrest | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pirano | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alkeline | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desdemona | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Split the Sea | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chiricahua Signal | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waldorf | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chill | 0.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Thunder | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Young Lord | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold’emforransom | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Front Nine | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not So Quiet | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Secret | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Josephine | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calais Cove | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Easy Bid | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beaufils | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bel Tempo | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Sadie Irene | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hanchy | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fabulist | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheetahra | 0.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Touch Above | 0.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Show Me the Prize | 0.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 10 | It’s Grace | 0.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 13 | Potra Liza | 0.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Petite Amie | 0.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 12 | Only Essa | 0.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.