September 22, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sight Line | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hodor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dirt in Your Face | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chunnel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thomas Knight | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harpoon | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To the Victor | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fara’s Kid | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Terry’s Charm | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No More Music | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adaptor | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tairneach | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Tizzy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alter Rhythm | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bella Rossa | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby’s Song | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gotham Gala | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlybrown’s Rose | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jemrose | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Included | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vanidosa | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aqwaam | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Own Agenda | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor and Courage | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tattered | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eden Ridge | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harangue | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Strike | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Analyze the Odds | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prendimi | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowboy Night | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alwanees | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Singing Sarah | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catoria | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doctorsofmischief | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gangbusters | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Katie’s Reward | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oldfashioned Style | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exotic Appeal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Cathy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Powergirl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Giant Trick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Will Munnings | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Long May You Run | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Louie D | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Nitro | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winning the Medal | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Bandit | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sparticle | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cinderela El Crome | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Retrograde | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forman the Foreman | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yeah Rocky | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Allday | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Absentee | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Spring | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Camgo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vixsinsfantastkfox | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Trainfourtwentyone | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strictly the Best | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Five Star General | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sacrificing It All | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kingston Eleven | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Light | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Alphabet Soup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fielder | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tactical Plan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ruby Bleu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Fast and Accurate | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Missin the Big Dog | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Saratoga Jack | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Someday Jones | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Taxable Goods | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Threeohtwocassie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bern’ James Bern | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Flashy Kyem | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | They Shot Sonny | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pa Derby Champion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Exulting | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grasshoppin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Ridge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Small Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Name Changer | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Collected | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Zanotti | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Aztec Sense | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Prince of Hempt | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gallant Bob S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Still Having Fun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Noble Commander | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Forced | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Engage | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Firenze Fire | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Giant | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Seven Trumpets | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Earned Success | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smooth B | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cotillion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Monomoy Girl | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Gadot | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norma’s Charm | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Bisou | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Separationofpowers | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chocolate Martini | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump Ruler | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Serenade | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | First Mondays | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hofburg | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | McKinzie | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Axelrod | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Core Beliefs | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Instilled Regard | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bravazo | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Zachary | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Freeze | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trigger Warning | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Roethlisberger | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mantle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | San Elijo | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Purchasing Power | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dennis’ Diamond | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Asset | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cause I’m Alex | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Legacy’s Prince | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Scherzo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | These Blues | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Team Ribot | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Guyanese | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Spartan Pride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Gran Fortress | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Couzier | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | D. S. Boyd | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Distinctive Ride | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lori’s Folly | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sancho Del Pueblo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Swap | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Debonaire Man | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lucky Clemen | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.