September 22, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Rosie | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Animal Lady | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoochin Candy | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | There Goes My Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackdiamond Dream | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Telling Me Softly | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Justanarch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bourbonstreetlady | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Empire | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetly Maid | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trapps Star | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Haley’s Thunder | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Afar | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Optical Illusion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Breakers Point | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wise Men | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zeppelin Ride | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hepcat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Brusilov | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Zaptuit | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | American Colossus | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Run Forrest (IRE) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | E Lizzy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Cotton | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Elegance | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Contradance | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheverie | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shoppingforsilver | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sazerac Girl | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Toss the Tub | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Yay You | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dagburnit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Great Harbour Cay | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Agonistic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kitchen Police | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anonym | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go Cristian Go | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Private Tutor | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oklahoma Crude | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Durrett Lane | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seventysevenwilow | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | So Long Chuck | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Here’s a Jetpack | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metallic | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Hitter | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | His Name Is Sue | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Downhill Racer | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | They Call Me Gus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Scrapple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Summer Mischief | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Magician | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fantasize | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rock Solid Golfer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alluring Silver | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Socaroo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Devastating Move | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perp | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Self Start | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unclenedwhodrank | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salinger | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Flashy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Bamboo | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Do With Pride | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER MHF | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | RB HOCUS POCUS | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | ZELLS BELLS | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | COLORS IN MOTION | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | LAPCOS LETS DANCE | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | BURN NOTICE MC | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.