September 21, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beau’s Beauty | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Emily | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Airy Fairy | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dangerous Liaison | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worlds Your Oyster | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldtown | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Silent Present | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Articulate | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Witha Chance | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Timberline | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Crissy | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thalias Fire | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sayyestoxcelence | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freshieintheforest | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Pearls | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Sue | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | First Shot | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candycreet | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jasper Park | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Romance | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty d’Artagnan | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinnamon Bear | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kyslios’s Justice | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Charm | 0.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Terrafirma | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Willy’s Castle | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tinker Ring | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cenar | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epilogue | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Therealquaff | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get My Gist | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bealestreet Dancer | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crumlin Night | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Acting the Part | 0.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Finder | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Me Sweet | 0.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Typically | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Create an Edge | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Corker | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beth’s Aurora | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auntie Katherine | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light It Up | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Walk Thru Jasper | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wuk Up Queen | 0.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 0.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Had to Laugh | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pappa Rox | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eboracum | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Five More Minutes | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wincredible Star | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jordans Way | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laser Light | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Elite | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quaker Road | 0.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bet Alpha | 0.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Like Larry | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Change At the Top | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit the Ticket | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Uncle Drew | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashymeister | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madsam | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | John Paul Jones | 0.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cauldron | 0.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jammin Still | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Speed | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Split My Pants | 0.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire for Effect | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glencairn | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coleyville | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Kitten | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet On Mike | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lillie’s Answer | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparkle Sammy | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sam’s Cross | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crazy About Jazz | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Connection | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corey’s Best | 0.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adopted Family | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Enchanted Tale | 0.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost Point | 0.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Whatta Girl | 0.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thirty Nine Seven | 0.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Northern Colors | 0.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.