September 21, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smart Romance | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Boomerang Miss | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Aja Brown | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Floating By | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Emelina | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spicy Girl Red | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fed Up Fired Up | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Dream of Lois | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Choice Prospect | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Pic | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nairet | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notable Game | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scoreearlyandoften | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hercatwillfoolu | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tac Up | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Steffi | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chesapeake Spring | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Summer Frock | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lucy in the Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Go Magician Go | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hold That Kiss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | May Flowers | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Stellar Trick | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Schmooze | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Lil Habit of Mine | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Billyscrystalball | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Desert Princess | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fergie’s Lady | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Queen | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nancy R | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Mistress | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Binary Bourbon | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dear Charlotte | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Street Passion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Aliphant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baccarat Fashion | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sister Patricia | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Astonishing Ariana | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Hap Now | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Atlantic Avenue | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gingeresk | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | La Zoraya | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Marie From Parie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dialin | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kresses | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Holiday Magician | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Jak | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greek God | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sing Praises | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pachi Cruze | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Professor Zoom | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Polished Degree | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fifties Music | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Demon Buster | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coop Tries Harder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rugbyman | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speightsford | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Crusader | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fallinginloveagain | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Legend’s Hope | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Microscale | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uno Dancer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Aizhai | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Halite | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regal Quality | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ballard High | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Goodluckjohnathan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hayne’s Fever | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dad’s City Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | County Club | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Star Eighty | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormy Mama | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gimme Kimmy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chobee Girl | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotton Princess | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanalei Sunset | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Self Determination | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bluegrass Gold | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.